Ok, there's 10 in the September primary, but only three of them have an over 1% chance of winning the nomination. Warren, Biden, & Harris.
Sanders has this locked in band of support of 12% - 18%. He can run to the convention and he'll have support in that band. Won't drop below 12, but won't go over 18.
So Warren has the progressive vote. She's a force of nature with a great story, incredibly compelling arguments, and talks to the frustrations people have - with an effective positive solution.
Biden is the establishment candidate, promising a return to Obama and to some degree (Bill) Clinton. Let's return to a system that favors the wealthy, with a decent person at the top who tries to tweak the system to favor the majority of people a teeny tiny bit more.
And Harris is the compromise between the two of them. Politically she's in the middle between the two. She has the best polling of all the middle candidates. And as a woman of color, she checks off two of the boxes.
And that's it. A few are hoping to qualify for the October debate - but why. Getting in by the skin of your teeth isn't a road to winning. We should see more of these dropping out over the next couple of weeks. Some because the funding dries up, some because they're smart enough to know they have no chance.
And my pick for the nomination? Warren/Yang. My guess for the nomination? Warren/Booker.
